Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.039890 1.182364 1.337577 1.519286 1.726275 1.954832 2.226513
2025-12-14 0.788480 0.974316 1.194381 1.474479 1.821985 2.239605 2.780620
2025-12-21 0.656959 0.859999 1.114762 1.458468 1.911085 2.488243 3.282546
2025-12-28 0.588705 0.807922 1.096343 1.504532 2.069115 2.825135 3.918985
2026-01-04 0.514205 0.734879 1.037289 1.483282 2.126837 3.025801 4.384084
2026-01-11 0.472244 0.699956 1.023657 1.519114 2.261897 3.339867 5.033836
2026-01-18 0.429140 0.657437 0.992943 1.524104 2.348607 3.587569 5.605617
2026-01-25 0.386506 0.610377 0.949591 1.503585 2.391566 3.769504 6.089609
2026-02-01 0.346857 0.563433 0.901052 1.468637 2.406019 3.904902 6.508114
2026-02-08 0.312890 0.521901 0.856545 1.434667 2.416727 4.032103 6.921003
2026-02-15 0.292443 0.500342 0.841836 1.447434 2.504405 4.290976 7.577490
2026-02-22 0.270111 0.473352 0.815372 1.437105 2.550432 4.481452 8.130159
2026-03-01 0.243250 0.438317 0.775940 1.407613 2.573033 4.656135 8.717275
2026-03-08 0.216941 0.401997 0.731468 1.366019 2.572512 4.795458 9.268381
2026-03-15 0.197888 0.376649 0.703649 1.351212 2.618572 5.022832 10.010188
2026-03-22 0.188580 0.368450 0.706300 1.393818 2.778041 5.480254 11.255887
2026-03-29 0.172615 0.345623 0.678739 1.374164 2.812053 5.695585 12.034790
2026-04-05 0.164318 0.337033 0.677792 1.407306 2.955769 6.144623 13.352940
2026-04-12 0.153754 0.322689 0.663831 1.411920 3.040118 6.479439 14.463993
2026-04-19 0.141903 0.304422 0.639981 1.392942 3.071566 6.704817 15.358272
2026-04-26 0.130005 0.284835 0.611415 1.360618 3.069923 6.857432 16.103856
2026-05-03 0.119350 0.266881 0.584574 1.329197 3.066621 7.005263 16.854556
2026-05-10 0.113173 0.258267 0.577226 1.341006 3.163549 7.390459 18.218042